Key Highlights

• Bitcoin price remains volatile, fluctuating between $85,000 and $95,000 as 2025 comes to a close.
• Metaplanet has made significant Bitcoin purchases, totaling $451 million in Q4 2025, bringing their holdings to 35,102 BTC.
• Despite a challenging market, MicroStrategy continues aggressive Bitcoin acquisitions, with a recent purchase of $109 million.

Market Sentiment

• Trend: Cautiously optimistic as long-term holders begin accumulating again.
• Market Concerns: Rising global conflicts and potential tariff impacts in 2026 create uncertainty.
• Positive Signals: Bitcoin's resistance to breakdown at $88,000 and retail optimism suggest potential for rebound.

Bitcoin Forecast

• Analysts see a potential short-lived rebound in Q1 2026, driven by a bullish cross in Bitcoin supply in profit.
• Long-term forecasts remain bullish with predictions of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by 2026 and $250,000 by 2027.

Key Events to Watch

• The impact of FOMC minutes and U.S. housing data on Bitcoin's immediate price movements.
• Developments in global trade policies, especially concerning tariffs under Trump's administration, which could significantly influence Bitcoin's volatility in 2026.

Trading Insights

• Traders should monitor the $88,000 support level closely, as maintaining this could signal a stronger rebound.
• Consider the implications of large institutional movements, such as BlackRock's transfer to Coinbase, on market liquidity and price action.

Top 3 Impact Stories

• Metaplanet's aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy highlights institutional confidence despite market uncertainties.
• David Beckham-backed firms ceasing Bitcoin purchases reflect a potential shift in corporate sentiment towards cryptocurrency investments.
• The record $28 billion Bitcoin options expiry event failing to reverse the downtrend, pointing to underlying market pressures.

Main Conclusion

While Bitcoin ends 2025 with significant volatility and market pressures, institutional activities and long-term holder behaviors provide a cautiously optimistic outlook for 2026. Traders should stay alert to key economic indicators and geopolitical developments that could sway market sentiment substantially.