Key Highlights

• Bitcoin shows signs of a short-term rebound as on-chain metrics improve and US policy shifts are anticipated.
• A significant movement of 2,000 BTC by a Satoshi-era whale has been noted, coinciding with a substantial market sell signal.
• Analyst Willy Woo highlights potential bearish risks for Bitcoin as liquidity decreases, despite current price levels.

Market Sentiment

• Trend: Cautiously optimistic with signs of rebound, though resistance levels remain a concern.
• Bearish Pressure: Concerns over liquidity and structural weaknesses in Bitcoin's market position.
• Bullish Counter: Positive movements in other cryptocurrencies and potential bullish impacts from upcoming US economic events.

Bitcoin Forecast

• Short-term predictions suggest a potential rally to $95,000 - $100,000 by January 2026, contingent on overcoming current resistance levels.
• Immediate price movements may oscillate, with a possible pullback toward $88,000 before attempting to break above $100,000.

Key Events to Watch

• US inflation data and other economic indicators this week could significantly influence Bitcoin's price trajectory.
• Global political tensions, particularly the Trump-Powell conflict, are also impacting market sentiment and could drive price fluctuations.

Trading Insights

• Traders should monitor on-chain flows and liquidity metrics closely, as these could provide early signals for both bullish and bearish trends.
• Considering the potential for significant policy announcements in the US, maintaining flexibility in trading strategies is advisable.

Top 3 Impact Stories

• Satoshi-era Bitcoin whale's recent 2,000 BTC transaction amidst a major market sell-off.
• Escalating Trump-Powell feud potentially influencing both cryptocurrency and broader financial markets.
• Anticipation of US policy shifts that could either bolster or challenge Bitcoin's current market position.

Main Conclusion

Despite structural weaknesses and liquidity concerns, Bitcoin is positioned for a potential short-term rebound. Key economic events and policy shifts in the coming days will be crucial in determining the direction of this rebound and the broader market sentiment.